‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
CHC @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
6–1
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 78°F CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To LF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.5 BF
Expected batters faced15.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-133+100
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 1.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)11.7%1.4 PA
8Bryan Torres (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)11.7%1.0 PA
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-118
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-126
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)11.7%2.8 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA