‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
AZ @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
1–5
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 62°F ClearWind 6 mph, In From LF
Ryne Nelson · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+104-138
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Mitch Garver (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Bryan Woo · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+115
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-154+116
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Adrian Del Castillo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%2.4 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)11.7%2.0 PA