‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
MIN @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
9–10
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 72°F SunnyWind 9 mph, L To R
Bailey Ober · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Tyler Callihan (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
DKDraftKings+103-136
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Bell (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6James Outman (L)11.7%2.4 PA
7Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA