MIA @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

1–6

Final

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 57°F CloudyWind 14 mph, In From CF

Tyler Phillips · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload12.6 BF

Expected batters faced12.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+100

DKDraftKings-118-112

We project 1.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)11.7%2.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%2.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)11.7%2.0 PA

4Jared Young (L)11.7%1.6 PA

5Mark Vientos (R)11.7%1.0 PA

6A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%1.0 PA

7Marcus Semien (R)11.7%1.0 PA

8Vidal Bruján (L)11.7%1.0 PA

9Hayden Senger (R)11.7%1.0 PA

Christian Scott · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+100

DKDraftKings-147+110

FANFanatics-140+100

We project 2.3 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%2.3 PA

4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%2.0 PA

5Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%2.0 PA

6Leo Jiménez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Owen Caissie (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Christopher Morel (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA