MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026

PHI @ LAD Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
43
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft 68°F ClearWind 3 mph, L To R

PHI Jesús Luzardo · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-128
FANFanatics-110-130

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kyle Tucker (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Will Smith (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Max Muncy (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Alex Call (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dalton Rushing (L)11.7%2.0 PA

LAD Roki Sasaki · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-116-114

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Steward Berroa (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA