‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
MIL @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
2–9
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Brandon Sproat · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
DKDraftKings+111-147
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.7%2.9 PA
4Taylor Trammell (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Peter Lambert · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
DKDraftKings-127-104
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Andrew Vaughn (R)11.7%2.7 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Gary Sánchez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)11.7%2.0 PA