‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
BOS @ CLE Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
9–1
Final
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
◆ Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 61°F SunnyWind 24 mph, In From RF
Sonny Gray · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-185+125
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-143+108
FANFanatics-180+125
We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2José Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Chase DeLauter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Stuart Fairchild (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6David Fry (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Petey Halpin (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Austin Hedges (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brayan Rocchio (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Parker Messick · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
DKDraftKings-137+103
We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)11.7%2.0 PA