‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
ATL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
5–2
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, In From RF
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.3 BF
Expected batters faced18.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
DKDraftKings-114-116
We project 2.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%2.3 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.7%2.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6JJ Bleday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9TJ Friedl (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Brady Singer · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-127-104
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)11.7%2.1 PA
6Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jorge Mateo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA