MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026

DET @ CWS Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
17
Final
CWS
Chicago White Sox
CWS
Rate FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 68°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, L To R

DET Framber Valdez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
DKDraftKings-169+127

We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CWS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Chase Meidroth (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Miguel Vargas (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Colson Montgomery (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Tristan Peters (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Edgar Quero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Andrew Benintendi (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Luisangel Acuña (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Sam Antonacci (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rikuu Nishida (L)11.7%2.0 PA

CWS Anthony Kay · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+116-154
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Gage Workman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.9 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Wenceel Pérez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Hao-Yu Lee (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA