MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026

TOR @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
56
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 67°F SunnyWind 14 mph, In From LF

TOR Trey Yesavage · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.9 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colton Cowser (L)11.7%2.0 PA

BAL Brandon Young · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-165
DKDraftKings+112-149

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.1 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)11.7%2.0 PA