MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026

CHC @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
15
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 79°F CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L

CHC Jordan Wicks · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings+108-144
FANFanatics+100-140

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.7%2.3 PA
7Victor Scott II (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nolan Gorman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)11.7%2.0 PA

STL Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings-102-129

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (R)11.7%2.4 PA
6Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Michael Busch (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Michael Conforto (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA