‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026
AZ @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
2–3
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 63°F SunnyWind 10 mph, In From LF
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.1 BF
Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings-108-122
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Victor Robles (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)11.7%2.1 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Bryce Miller · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)11.7%2.8 PA
5Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)11.7%2.0 PA