‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026
MIN @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
3–9
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 68°F SunnyWind 3 mph, In From CF
Zebby Matthews · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%2.7 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-140
DKDraftKings+106-141
We project 2.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)11.7%2.3 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA