MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026

MIA @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
110
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R

MIA John King · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload8.8 BF

Expected batters faced8.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)11.7%1.0 PA
2MJ Melendez (L)11.7%1.0 PA
3Vidal Bruján (R)11.7%1.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.7%1.0 PA
5Mark Vientos (R)11.7%1.0 PA
6A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Marcus Semien (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%0.8 PA

NYM Nolan McLean · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+125
FANFanatics-180+125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Leo Jiménez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Connor Norby (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Heriberto Hernández (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA