‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026
ATL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
4–6
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 73°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, In From LF
Spencer Strider · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
DKDraftKings-103-129
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Matt McLain (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.7%2.5 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Nathaniel Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Will Benson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9P.J. Higgins (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Nick Lodolo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-140
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+100-132
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Dominic Smith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (R)11.7%2.0 PA