‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026
TOR @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
5–9
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 69°F SunnyWind 6 mph, R To L
Spencer Miles · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.9 BF
Expected batters faced13.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+115
DKDraftKings-143+107
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 1.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%1.9 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%1.0 PA
Kyle Bradish · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
DKDraftKings+120-160
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Myles Straw (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.8 PA
7Charles McAdoo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.0 PA