MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, May 31, 2026

NYY @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
138
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft 83°F SunnyWind 5 mph, L To R

NYY Will Warren · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings-120-110

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carlos Cortes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brent Rooker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Nick Kurtz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Henry Bolte (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jonah Heim (L)11.7%2.7 PA
6Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Darell Hernaiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA

ATH Jacob Lopez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-165+125
FANFanatics-165+115

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Paul Goldschmidt (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ben Rice (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Ryan McMahon (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5José Caballero (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Trent Grisham (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Anthony Volpe (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Max Schuemann (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Austin Wells (L)11.7%2.0 PA