MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 1, 2026

DET @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 1, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
109
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

DET Ty Madden · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.7 BF

Expected batters faced18.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+120-160

We project 2.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%2.7 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Richie Palacios (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TB Griffin Jax · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.8 BF

Expected batters faced14.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
DKDraftKings+124-165
FANFanatics+120-170

We project 1.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3Matt Vierling (R)11.7%2.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Zack Short (R)11.7%1.8 PA
7Wenceel Pérez (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Hao-Yu Lee (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%1.0 PA