Best MLB earned runs matchups — Monday, June 1, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 1, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by projected earned runs allowed. Run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.7 BF
Expected batters faced10.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)11.7%2.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%1.7
3. Victor Robles (R)11.7%1.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%1.0
5. Patrick Wisdom (R)11.7%1.0
6. Cole Young (L)11.7%1.0
7. Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%1.0
8. Mitch Garver (R)11.7%1.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)11.7%1.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+140-200
We project 1.2 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.9 BF
Expected batters faced11.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Will Benson (L)11.7%2.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)11.7%2.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)11.7%1.9
4. Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%1.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)11.7%1.0
6. Spencer Steer (R)11.7%1.0
7. Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%1.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%1.0
9. Matt McLain (R)11.7%1.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-125
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 1.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.2 BF
Expected batters faced13.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Casey Schmitt (R)11.7%2.0
2. Daniel Susac (R)11.7%2.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)11.7%2.0
4. Buddy Kennedy (R)11.7%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.7%1.2
6. Victor Bericoto (R)11.7%1.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)11.7%1.0
8. Eric Haase (R)11.7%1.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)11.7%1.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 1.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.8 BF
Expected batters faced14.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%2.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%2.0
3. Matt Vierling (R)11.7%2.0
4. Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0
6. Zack Short (R)11.7%1.8
7. Wenceel Pérez (L)11.7%1.0
8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)11.7%1.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%1.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
DKDraftKings+124-165
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 1.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.0 BF
Expected batters faced18.0
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)11.7%2.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%2.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%2.0
4. Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%2.0
5. Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0
6. Lane Thomas (R)11.7%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)11.7%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.7 BF
Expected batters faced18.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%2.7
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%2.0
3. Richie Palacios (L)11.7%2.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)11.7%2.0
5. Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%2.0
6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0
9. Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+120-160
We project 2.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.7 BF
Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Wade Meckler (L)11.7%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)11.7%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)11.7%2.7
4. Jo Adell (R)11.7%2.0
5. Oswald Peraza (R)11.7%2.0
6. Jose Siri (R)11.7%2.0
7. Adam Frazier (L)11.7%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)11.7%2.0
9. Donovan Walton (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+100
DKDraftKings-143+107
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)11.7%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)11.7%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)11.7%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)11.7%2.7
5. Chase Meidroth (R)11.7%2.0
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)11.7%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)11.7%2.0
8. Edgar Quero (L)11.7%2.0
9. Rikuu Nishida (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
DKDraftKings-164+123
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)11.7%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0
4. Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%3.0
5. James Outman (L)11.7%2.0
6. Austin Martin (R)11.7%2.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)11.7%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0
9. Tristan Gray (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings+115-153
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)11.7%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)11.7%3.0
5. Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%2.1
6. Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%2.0
7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.0
8. Jorge Barrosa (L)11.7%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
FANFanatics+125-180
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)11.7%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)11.7%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)11.7%2.4
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)11.7%2.0
7. Evan Carter (L)11.7%2.0
8. Danny Jansen (R)11.7%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
DKDraftKings+118-157
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)11.7%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)11.7%3.0
5. Bryan Torres (L)11.7%2.4
6. Masyn Winn (R)11.7%2.0
7. Nolan Gorman (L)11.7%2.0
8. Nelson Velázquez (R)11.7%2.0
9. José Fermín (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)11.7%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)11.7%3.0
3. Joey Ortiz (R)11.7%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)11.7%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)11.7%2.5
6. Blake Perkins (L)11.7%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)11.7%2.0
8. Luis Rengifo (L)11.7%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
BOVBovada+125-165
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)11.7%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%3.0
6. MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.5
7. Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.0
8. Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-185+125
DKDraftKings-168+126
FANFanatics-180+125
We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)11.7%3.0
2. TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0
4. Troy Johnston (L)11.7%3.0
5. Willi Castro (L)11.7%3.0
6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.7
7. Chad Stevens (R)11.7%2.0
8. Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0
5. Leo Jiménez (R)11.7%3.0
6. Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%2.9
7. Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0
9. Connor Norby (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+120
DKDraftKings-177+132
We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)11.7%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)11.7%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)11.7%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)11.7%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)11.7%3.0
6. Will Smith (R)11.7%3.0
7. Max Muncy (L)11.7%2.5
8. Alex Freeland (R)11.7%2.0
9. Alex Call (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-162+122
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.1 BF
Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)11.7%3.0
2. Andrés Chaparro (R)11.7%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)11.7%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)11.7%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)11.7%3.0
7. José Tena (L)11.7%3.0
8. Keibert Ruiz (L)11.7%2.1
9. Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
DKDraftKings-156+118
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
16 with a ERLive count — updates as games play
1
David SandlinP
CWS@MIN· proj #9
8ERFinal
T1
Landen RouppP
SF@MIL· proj #13
8ERFinal
3
Griffin JaxP
TBvsDET· proj #4
6ERFinal
4
Kyle FreelandP
COL@LAA· proj #7
5ERFinal
5
Lyon RichardsonP
CINvsKC· proj #5
4ERFinal
T5
Joe RyanP
MINvsCWS· proj #8
4ERFinal
7
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIA@WSH· proj #18
3ERFinal
8
Shane DrohanP
MILvsSF· proj #3
2ERFinal
T8
Ty MaddenP
DET@TB· proj #6
2ERFinal
T8
Emmet SheehanP
LAD@AZ· proj #10
2ERFinal
T8
Michael McGreevyP
STLvsTEX· proj #11
2ERFinal
T8
Emerson HancockP
SEAvsNYM· proj #14
2ERFinal
T8
José SorianoP
LAAvsCOL· proj #15
2ERFinal
T8
Cade CavalliP
WSHvsMIA· proj #16
2ERFinal
15
Luinder AvilaP
KC@CIN· proj #2
1ERFinal
T15
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZvsLAD· proj #17
1ERFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/450%
season 52%-2 pts-4% ROI
Top 10
5/956%
season 52%+4 pts-6% ROI
Top 20
10/1759%
season building
Top 50
10/1759%
season building
Full slate
10/1759%
season 49%+10 pts-9% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Earned Runs Matchups — Monday, June 1, 2026
Austin Warren (NYM) is the top earned runs spot on the Monday, June 1, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.2 ER, with Luinder Avila (KC) right behind. Every starter is ranked by projected earned runs allowed — run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Austin Warren
Austin Warren (NYM) tops the Monday, June 1, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.2 ER vs SEA. Run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Luinder Avila (KC) (92) — about 1.3 ER vs CIN.
Shane Drohan (MIL) (83) — about 1.5 ER vs SF.
Griffin Jax (TB) (72) — about 1.7 ER vs DET.
Lyon Richardson (CIN) (49) — about 2.0 ER vs KC.
Ty Madden (DET) (45) — about 2.1 ER vs TB.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.4 ER. Austin Warren finished with 0. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the earned runs board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by projected earned runs allowed — run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a earned runs count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best earned runs matchup today (Monday, June 1, 2026)?
Austin Warren (NYM) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.2 ER against SEA.
What are the best pitcher earned runs props today?
The top projected starts on Monday, June 1, 2026: Austin Warren (~1.2 ER), Luinder Avila (~1.3 ER), Shane Drohan (~1.5 ER), Griffin Jax (~1.7 ER), Lyon Richardson (~2.0 ER). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the earned runs score calculated?
Ranked by projected earned runs allowed — run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected earned runs count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best earned runs spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
