‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 1, 2026
KC @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 1, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
9–2
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 74°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, L To R
Luinder Avila · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.9 BF
Expected batters faced11.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-125
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 1.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Will Benson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.7%1.9 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%1.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)11.7%1.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)11.7%1.0 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)11.7%1.0 PA
Lyon Richardson · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.0 BF
Expected batters faced18.0
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Lane Thomas (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)11.7%2.0 PA