MIA @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

7–3

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 75°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF

Lake Bachar · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.5 BF

Expected batters faced10.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)11.7%2.0 PA

2Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%1.6 PA

3Curtis Mead (R)11.7%1.0 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%1.0 PA

5Daylen Lile (L)11.7%1.0 PA

6Dylan Crews (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Keibert Ruiz (L)11.7%1.0 PA

9José Tena (L)11.7%1.0 PA

Richard Lovelady · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.2 BF

Expected batters faced9.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+165-250

FANFanatics+165-240

We project 1.0 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Heriberto Hernández (R)11.7%1.2 PA

2Otto Lopez (R)11.7%1.0 PA

3Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%1.0 PA

4Xavier Edwards (R)11.7%1.0 PA

5Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%1.0 PA

6Liam Hicks (L)11.7%1.0 PA

7Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Joe Mack (L)11.7%1.0 PA