MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

DET @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
80
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

DET Jack Flaherty · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
DKDraftKings-102-130
FANFanatics-110-130

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%2.9 PA
4Oliver Dunn (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TB Steven Matz · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-142+107

We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Matt Vierling (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.1 PA
5Jahmai Jones (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Wenceel Pérez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)11.7%2.0 PA