MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

SD @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
23
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, In From CF

SD Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+100
DKDraftKings-141+106
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.6 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rafael Marchán (L)11.7%2.0 PA

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+125-166

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%2.2 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA