MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

PIT @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 2, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
106
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PIT Bubba Chandler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+112-148
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Taylor Trammell (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

HOU Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
DKDraftKings-110-121

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.6 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA