‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
DET @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
DET
Detroit Tigers
7–2
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Troy Melton · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings-108-123
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.8 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
DKDraftKings-102-130
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kerry Carpenter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Zack Short (R)11.7%2.7 PA
8Matt Vierling (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)11.7%2.0 PA