MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

TEX @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
35
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 79°F ClearWind 6 mph, In From RF

TEX MacKenzie Gore · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Masyn Winn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)11.7%2.9 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6José Fermín (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nolan Gorman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Thomas Saggese (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)11.7%2.0 PA

STL Andre Pallante · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jake Burger (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)11.7%2.7 PA
6Cody Freeman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Justin Foscue (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Michael Helman (R)11.7%2.0 PA