PIT @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

9–11

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FANFanatics-130-110

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Zach Cole (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.9 PA

6Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Jake Mangum (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA

7Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%2.3 PA

8Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.0 PA