‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
KC @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
5–2
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 79°F ClearWind 3 mph, In From LF
Stephen Kolek · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Dane Myers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.8 PA
7Will Benson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Noelvi Marte (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Tyler Tolbert (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Lane Thomas (R)11.7%2.0 PA