MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

TOR @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
37
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 77°F ClearWind 3 mph, L To R

TOR Patrick Corbin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-150+105

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%2.7 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (R)11.7%2.0 PA

ATL Grant Holmes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Myles Straw (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jesús Sánchez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.0 PA