SD @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

San Diego Padres

4–6

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 87°F SunnyWind 7 mph, L To R

Lucas Giolito · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

DKDraftKings+122-162

We project 2.4 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%2.0 PA

5Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.0 PA

6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA

Zack Wheeler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+115

DKDraftKings-136+102

FANFanatics-165+115

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Ty France (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%2.3 PA

7Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Bryce Johnson (L)11.7%2.0 PA