PIT @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

5–1

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-165

DKDraftKings+121-161

FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)11.7%2.5 PA

6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Taylor Trammell (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Collin Price (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.9 BF

Expected batters faced15.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%2.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%2.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%2.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.0 PA

6Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%1.9 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)11.7%1.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%1.0 PA