‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 4, 2026
TOR @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
7–2
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 80°F ClearWind 5 mph, In From LF
Mason Fluharty · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload8.5 BF
Expected batters faced8.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+165-235
We project 1.0 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%1.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%1.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%1.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%1.0 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)11.7%1.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Austin Wynns (R)11.7%0.5 PA
Chris Sale · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.8 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.6 PA
8Tyler Heineman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%2.0 PA