MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026

NYM @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
50
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 67°F CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R

NYM Christian Scott · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.4 BF

Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+140-180
DKDraftKings+125-166

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)11.7%2.4 PA
4Ty France (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Bryce Johnson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA

SD Michael King · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-148+112
FANFanatics-170+120

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.6 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Mark Vientos (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA