MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026

KC @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
35
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF

KC Michael Wacha · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-116-114

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Tristan Gray (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Austin Martin (R)11.7%2.8 PA
8Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA

MIN Zebby Matthews · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-110
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Starling Marte (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Lane Thomas (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.4 PA
7Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Maikel Garcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)11.7%2.0 PA