MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026

SEA @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
37
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 79°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, R To L

SEA Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+120
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-175+131

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Matt Vierling (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.8 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)11.7%2.0 PA

DET Framber Valdez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+119-159
FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Patrick Wisdom (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Mitch Garver (R)11.7%2.6 PA
7Cole Young (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Luke Raley (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA