‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026
PIT @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
3–6
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-119-111
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Eli White (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Austin Riley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.7 BF
Expected batters faced17.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-170
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)11.7%2.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (R)11.7%1.7 PA