MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026

WSH @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
141
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 75°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

WSH Foster Griffin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-106-125

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ildemaro Vargas (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Pavin Smith (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Adrian Del Castillo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5LuJames Groover (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.7%2.8 PA
7Tommy Troy (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Aramis Garcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (R)11.7%2.0 PA

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.4 BF

Expected batters faced25.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-150+105

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jacob Young (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Dylan Crews (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.7%2.4 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%2.0 PA