BAL @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

4–6

Final

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 77°F SunnyWind 22 mph, L To R

Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+105

BOVBovada-105-135

DKDraftKings-105-127

FANFanatics-135-105

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA

6Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.8 PA

7Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Braydon Fisher · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload8.8 BF

Expected batters faced8.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+170-250

We project 1.0 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%1.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%1.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%1.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%1.0 PA

5Coby Mayo (R)11.7%1.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)11.7%1.0 PA

7Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Jeremiah Jackson (R)11.7%0.8 PA