‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 6, 2026
CIN @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
5–6
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 85°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L
Nick Lodolo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-139+105
FANFanatics-145+105
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Masyn Winn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6José Fermín (R)11.7%2.6 PA
7Bryan Torres (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Lars Nootbaar (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jimmy Crooks (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Matthew Liberatore · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+105-139
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Will Benson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Spencer Steer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Edwin Arroyo (R)11.7%2.1 PA
6Blake Dunn (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathaniel Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA