MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 6, 2026

KC @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
32
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 82°F SunnyWind 3 mph, L To R

KC Luinder Avila · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.4 BF

Expected batters faced13.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
DKDraftKings+125-166
FANFanatics+125-180

We project 1.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Austin Martin (R)11.7%1.4 PA
6Alex Jackson (R)11.7%1.0 PA
7Royce Lewis (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%1.0 PA

MIN Joe Ryan · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-165
DKDraftKings+131-175

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Lane Thomas (R)11.7%2.2 PA
6Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Tyler Tolbert (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Josh Rojas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)11.7%2.0 PA