MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 6, 2026

TB @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
34
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

TB Shane McClanahan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-130-102

We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%2.1 PA
5Leo Jiménez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Liam Hicks (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA

MIA Lake Bachar · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload11.0 BF

Expected batters faced11.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oliver Dunn (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)11.7%1.0 PA
4Richie Palacios (L)11.7%1.0 PA
5Ben Williamson (R)11.7%1.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Taylor Walls (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%1.0 PA