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Earned Runs · Saturday, June 6, 2026

PIT @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
36
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 84°F CloudyWind 4 mph, In From RF

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
DKDraftKings+127-170
FANFanatics+125-180

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Eli White (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Austin Wynns (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)11.7%2.0 PA

ATL Spencer Strider · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
DKDraftKings+119-158

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%2.8 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Callihan (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA