‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 7, 2026
BAL @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
4–6
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F CloudyWind 7 mph, In From LF
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
DKDraftKings-122-108
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.2 PA
9Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Kevin Gausman · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings+105-140
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Sam Huff (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Colton Cowser (L)11.7%2.7 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA