‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 7, 2026
CIN @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
3–5
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 85°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, R To L
Rhett Lowder · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Bryan Torres (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7José Fermín (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nelson Velázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Michael McGreevy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Dane Myers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.6 PA
6Will Benson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA