MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 7, 2026

NYM @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
73
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R

NYM Huascar Brazobán · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.1 BF

Expected batters faced10.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+185-275
BOVBovada+190-290
FANFanatics+185-270

We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%1.1 PA
3Ty France (R)11.7%1.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%1.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%1.0 PA
6Bryce Johnson (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Samad Taylor (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)11.7%1.0 PA

SD Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+107-142

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.5 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA