TB @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

1–4

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Griffin Jax · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.2 BF

Expected batters faced16.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+105

DKDraftKings-137+103

FANFanatics-150+105

We project 1.8 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Liam Hicks (L)11.7%2.0 PA

2Otto Lopez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

3Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%2.0 PA

4Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%2.0 PA

5Connor Norby (R)11.7%2.0 PA

6Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Joe Mack (L)11.7%1.2 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%1.0 PA

Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.3 BF

Expected batters faced25.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-135

DKDraftKings-103-129

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA

7Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%3.0 PA

8Hunter Feduccia (L)11.7%2.3 PA

9Taylor Walls (L)11.7%2.0 PA