MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 7, 2026

ATH @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
50
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

ATH Gage Jump · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings-104-128
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.6 PA
7Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jose Altuve (R)11.7%2.0 PA

HOU Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-132-101

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Kurtz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Henry Bolte (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Brent Rooker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.2 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)11.7%2.0 PA