MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 7, 2026

MIL @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
124
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 91°F SunnyWind 9 mph, In From CF

MIL Shane Drohan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.3 BF

Expected batters faced13.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-160
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+125-166
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 1.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Kyle Karros (R)11.7%1.3 PA
6Jake McCarthy (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Edouard Julien (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Troy Johnston (L)11.7%1.0 PA

COL Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings-121-109

We project 2.4 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jackson Chourio (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brice Turang (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3William Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Andrew Vaughn (R)11.7%2.1 PA
5Gary Sánchez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Luis Rengifo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Sal Frelick (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA