MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 7, 2026

SF @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
21
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From CF

SF Trevor McDonald · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+115-153

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Conforto (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.7 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.0 PA

CHC Jameson Taillon · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics-110-130

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Dylan Smith (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Rafael Devers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Luis Arraez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willy Adames (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jonah Cox (R)11.7%2.1 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Daniel Susac (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Drew Gilbert (L)11.7%2.0 PA