PIT @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

2–3

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 78°F CloudyWind 4 mph, Calm

Mason Montgomery · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.5 BF

Expected batters faced9.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+190-285

FANFanatics+190-280

We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%1.4 PA

2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%1.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)11.7%1.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%1.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)11.7%1.0 PA

6Austin Riley (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Jorge Mateo (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Austin Wynns (R)11.7%1.0 PA

Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-160

DKDraftKings+103-136

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Davis Wendzel (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Tyler Callihan (L)11.7%3.0 PA

7Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.6 PA

8Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.0 PA